Key takeaways:
- Perinatal risks increased steadily after 39 weeks among patients with diet-controlled GDM.
- Advancing gestational age was associated with higher odds of cesarean delivery, shoulder dystocia, and birth injury.
- The increase in cesarean delivery and large-for-gestational-age infants was greater in diet-controlled GDM than in pregnancies without diabetes.
A retrospective cohort study published January 21, 2026, in Pregnancy found that continuing pregnancy beyond 39 weeks among patients with diet-controlled gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) was associated with progressively higher maternal and neonatal risks, including cesarean delivery, shoulder dystocia, and large-for-gestational-age infants. The findings suggest that expectant management past 39 weeks can carry increasing risks for this population.1
How prevalent is gestational diabetes mellitus?
Gestational diabetes mellitus affects an estimated 2% to 11% of pregnancies in the United States and up to 14% globally and is associated with higher rates of maternal and neonatal morbidity. Current guidance from the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists recommends delivery at 39 weeks for patients with medication-controlled GDM, while expectant management up to 41 weeks is considered acceptable for those whose glucose levels are controlled with diet alone, the authors noted.1,2
However, evidence comparing induction at 39 weeks with expectant management in diet-controlled GDM has been mixed, and no randomized trials have focused exclusively on this subgroup. As a result, stated the authors, optimal timing of delivery for these patients has remained uncertain.1
Investigators conducted a retrospective cohort study of singleton, live-born term deliveries at a single hospital between November 2010 and February 2024. The analysis focused on patients diagnosed with diet-controlled GDM who delivered at 39 weeks or later and excluded those with insulin-treated GDM, pregestational diabetes, multiple gestations, or other medical indications for early delivery.
All patients were managed under uniform institutional protocols, including standardized glucose screening, dietary counseling, and follow-up in a maternal-fetal medicine clinic. Patients with diet-controlled GDM were expectantly managed until 42 weeks unless other obstetric indications arose.
Of 156,214 total deliveries during the study period, 4467 occurred at 39 weeks or later among patients with diet-controlled GDM.