News|Articles|January 27, 2026

Rheumatoid arthritis deaths among postmenopausal women decline from 1999 to 2023

Fact checked by: Benjamin P. Saylor

New national data show major declines in RA mortality among older women, alongside enduring racial and geographic inequities.

Key takeaways:

  • RA-related mortality among U.S. postmenopausal women declined by more than 50% between 1999 and 2023.
  • Temporary increases during the COVID-19 pandemic interrupted, but did not reverse, long-term downward trends.
  • Significant disparities by race, region, and age remain despite overall progress.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA)–related mortality among postmenopausal women in the United States has declined substantially from 1999 to 2023, though meaningful disparities by race, geography, and age remain, according to a new population-based analysis published in iMetaMed. The findings suggest that advances in RA treatment and broader access to care have translated into real survival gains, while also highlighting populations that continue to experience a disproportionate burden of disease.1

Tracking rheumatoid arthritis mortality over time

The study examined RA-related mortality trends among women in the United States aged 55 years and older between 1999 and 2023, using data from the CDC’s Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Because menopausal status is not recorded in national mortality data, the researchers used an age cutoff of 55 years to identify postmenopausal women, a threshold commonly applied in epidemiologic research.

Key methodological features included age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) calculated per 100,000 population using the 2000 US Standard Population, Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percentage change, and forecasting models to project mortality trends through 2030.

Key findings from more than 2 decades of data

Between 1999 and 2023, a total of 42,497 postmenopausal women in the United States died from RA-related deaths. Over that period, mortality declined markedly1,2:

  • AAMRs decreased from 5.75 per 100,000 in 1999 to 2.51 per 100,000 in 2023
  • This corresponded to an average annual percentage change of −3.53%
  • A brief increase in RA-related deaths occurred between 2019 and 2020, coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic

Analyses separating RA deaths with and without COVID-19 involvement suggested that pandemic-related disruptions and infection risk disproportionately affected people living with RA during that period.1

Persistent disparities by race, region, and age

Despite overall progress, the study identified consistent disparities across demographic groups. By race and ethnicity, non-Hispanic White women experienced the highest RA-related mortality rates throughout most of the study period, followed by Hispanic or Latino women, non-Hispanic Black women, and other racial groups.1,2

Geographic variation was also pronounced:

  • The Midwest and West recorded the highest AAMRs
  • The Northeast consistently reported the lowest RA-related mortality rates

Age-stratified analyses showed that women aged 85 years and older had the highest mortality rates across all years studied, underscoring the compounded risks associated with advanced age, comorbidities, and immunosenescence.1

Looking ahead to 20301,2

Using forecasting models, the researchers projected that RA-related mortality among postmenopausal women will continue to decline over the remainder of the decade. By 2030:

  • Annual RA-related deaths are expected to fall to approximately 1116
  • AAMRs are projected to decline further to 1.55 per 100,000

While these projections point to continued improvement, the authors emphasized that future healthcare disruptions or emerging public health crises could alter this trajectory.

"RA mortality among postmenopausal women has significantly declined since 1999, reflecting advances in treatment and healthcare delivery,” the study investigators concluded. “Despite these gains, persistent disparities across racial, ethnic, regional, and age groups underline the need for targeted public health interventions and equitable access to care for vulnerable populations.”

References:

  1. Y. Zhao, W. Cui, Y. Han, J. Qiao, and M. Chang, “ Trends in Rheumatoid Arthritis Mortality Among Postmenopausal Women in the United States, 1999–2023,” iMetaMed 0 (2025): 1-5. doi:0.1002/imm3.70024.
  2. Trends in rheumatoid arthritis mortality among postmenopausal women in the United States, 1999–2023. Far Publishing Limited. Press release. January 24, 2026. Accessed January 27, 2026. https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1113943

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